Description: This study quantifies the range of intercompany variability in mortality. Mean actual-to-expected (A/E) ratios based on amount were calculated in each quintile for every combination of six key variables.

Description: This report provides an educational background on the process of building predictive models, as well as a detailed presentation of the model results. Predictive models provide a method to capture variation by multiple variables and understand the relationship between these variables. This allows for a deeper understanding of key variables than is possible under a traditional approach.

Description: In this report, we consider high-level results from provisional mortality data released from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) for 2021, including looking at changes by sex and age group.

Description: Conventional wisdom in the U.S. is that mortality by violent causes of death is disproportionately experienced in underrepresented communities. This study aims to quantify this experience in more detail than is commonly reported.

Description: U.S. population mortality rates by gender and single year of age for calendar years 2000-2014. To develop these rates, the SOA relied upon data furnished by the Centers for Disesase Control and Prevention, Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, and the Social Security Administration.

Description: Historical U.S. population mortality rates by gender and single year of age for calendar years 2000-2016.

Description: Summarizes the results of a follow-up survey of a panel of experts on COVID-19 to see how views on the disease’s impact on future U.S. mortality may have changed.

Description: This report covers historical mortality from 1999-2018 by race as categorized by population data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s (CDC) WONDER database. Mortality for all deaths and six specific causes of death are considered over this period. Additionally, in 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic has influenced mortality as a whole and this report shows the breakdown of COVID-19 deaths by race.

Description: The most recently released US population mortality experience from 2016 is analyzed along with prior available mortality data going back to 1999.

Description: The study identifies significant U.S. mortality improvement/deterioration trends since 1959 including, but not limited to, those described in the SOA report, Components of Historical Mortality Improvement, using cause-of-death and other relevant data sources to quantify the likely degree of causality.